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Important continuous distributions


               Now using Φ(−z) = 1 − Φ(z) gives

                                                (         )
                                                  µ − 140
                                              Φ             = 1 − 0.030 = 0.970.
                                                     σ

               We find that
                                                        µ − 140
                                                                = 1.88.                                   (6.27)
                                                           σ
               Solving the simultaneous equations (6.26) and (6.27) gives µ = 173.5, σ = 17.8.

                   From the above examples, we see that the kurtosis of the Gaussian distribution is given by
               γ 4 =   ν 4 2 =  2σ  4  = 3. It is therefore common practice to define the excess kurtosis of a
                       ν 2     σ  4
               distribution as γ 4 − 3. A positive value of the excess kurtosis implies a relatively narrower peak
               and wider wings than the Gaussian distribution with the same mean and variance. A negative
               excess kurtosis implies a wider peak and shorter wings.


               The log-normal distribution. If the random variable X follows a Gaussian distribution then the
                               X
               variable Y = e is described by a log-normal distribution. Clearly, if X can take values in the
               range −∞ to ∞, then Y will lie between 0 and ∞. The probability density function for Y is found
               using the result (6.14). It is

                                                                       [            2  ]
                                                      dx       1   1         (ln y − µ)

                                      g(y) = f(x(y))      = √      exp −               .
                                                      dy    σ 2π y            2σ 2


                                           g(y)

                                           1                          µ = 0, σ = 0.5
                                                                      µ = 0, σ = 1
                                                                      µ = 0, σ = 1.5
                                         0.8


                                         0.6


                                         0.4

                                         0.2


                                           0                                         y
                                             0        1         2        3         4

               Figure 6.11 – The PDF g(y) for the log-normal distribution for various values of the parameters µ
               and σ.


                                       2
                   We note that µ and σ are not the mean and variance of the log-normal distribution, but rather
               the parameters of the corresponding Gaussian distribution for X. The mean and variance of Y,
               however, can be found straightforwardly

                                                                      1
                                                                         2
                                                    E(Y ) = exp(µ + σ ),
                                                                      2

                                                                   2
                                                                           2
                                             Var(Y ) = exp(2µ + σ )[exp(σ ) − 1].
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