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Continuous random variables


               There are many other ways in which the Gaussian distribution may be used. We now illustrate
               some of the uses in more complicated examples.

               Example 6.9. Sawmill A produces boards whose lengths are Gaussian distributed
               with mean 209.4 cm and standard deviation 5.0 cm. A board is accepted if it is
               longer than 200 cm but is rejected otherwise. Show that 3% of boards are rejected.
               Sawmill B produces boards of the same standard deviation but of mean length 210.1
               cm. Find the proportion of boards rejected if they are drawn at random from the
               outputs of A and B in the ratio 3 : 1.                                                         ,

                                                                                     2
               Solution. Let X = length of boards from A, so that X ∼ N(209.4, 5 ) and
                                                 (         )      (             )
                                                   200 − µ          200 − 209.4
                                P(X < 200) = Φ                = Φ                  = Φ(−1.88).
                                                       σ                  5

               But, since Φ(−z) = 1 − Φ(z) we have

                                      P(X < 200) = 1 − Φ(1.88) = 1 − 0.9699 = 0.0301,

               i.e. 3.0% of boards are rejected.
                                                                                  2
                   Now let Y = length of boards from B, so that Y ∼ N(210.1, 5 ) and
                                       (             )
                                         200 − 210.1
                     P(Y < 200) = Φ                    = Φ(−2.02) = 1 − Φ(2.02) = 1 − 0.9783 = 0.0217.
                                              5

               Therefore, when taken alone, only 2.2% of boards from B are rejected. If, however, boards
               are drawn at random from A and B in the ratio 3 : 1 then the proportion rejected is
                                           1
                                            (3 × 0.030 + 1 × 0.022) = 0.028 = 2.8%.
                                           4

               We may sometimes work backwards to derive the mean and standard deviation of a population
               that is known to be Gaussian distributed.

               Example 6.10. The time taken for a computer ’packet’ to travel from Odessa
               (Ukraine) to Odessa (USA) is Gaussian distributed. 6.8% of the packets take over
               200 ms to make the journey, and 3.0% take under 140 ms. Find the mean and standard
               deviation of the distribution.                                                                 ,

                                                                                         2
               Solution. Let X = journey time in ms; we are told that X ∼ N(µ, σ ) where µ and σ are
               unknown. Since 6.8% of journey times are longer than 200 ms,
                                                                (         )
                                                                  200 − µ
                                          P(X > 200) = 1 − Φ                = 0.068,
                                                                     σ

               from which we find
                                                (         )
                                                  200 − µ
                                              Φ             = 1 − 0.068 = 0.932.
                                                     σ
               We have therefore
                                                        200 − µ
                                                                = 1.49.                                   (6.26)
                                                           σ
               Also, 3.0% of journey times are under 140 ms, so

                                                              (         )
                                                                140 − µ
                                            P(X < 140) = Φ                = 0.030.
                                                                   σ

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