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                      The raw materials cost increases. Shortages and the high cost of raw materials produce an

               economic and moral pressure to avoid wastes.

                      Advertising  and  marketing  men  can  expect  rapid  changes  in  a  variety  of  markets  and
               industries. In energy, there will be a decrease in competitive advertising between the various types.

               We  will  probably  see  a  switch  to  more  educational  advertising  for  coal,  gas  and  electricity.
               Advertising  campaigns  will  be  directed  towards  eliminating  waste  rather  than  increasing

               consumption. In consumer durables there will be a move away from planned obsolescence. Cars,

               for  example,  will  be  replaced  every  five  to  ten  years  rather  then  every  three.  Total  consumer
               expenditure  will  fall  and  price  will  become  an  even  more  important  factor.  In  manufacturing,

               smaller companies will be squeezed out of existing markets.
                      In  packaging,  many  products,  like  personal  deodorants  with  their  excessive  use  of  raw

               materials, will change or disappear as paper and aluminum shortages push up the cost of packaging.
                      As advertising budgets are cut, advertising agencies themselves will be involved even more

               into  marketing  and  management  consultancy.  And  in  marketing,  manufacturers  will  demand

               quicker returns on less capital investment. Innovations will be marketed much faster (and copied
               much faster by competitors). Brand life cycles will be much shorter. Agencies will have to be much

               faster in their response to marketing problems and work longer hours for less money.



                                               WHEN A FIRM IS IN TROUBLE



                      Sometimes firms are in trouble. It is necessary to pay attention to the following symptoms in

               order to save a firm:
                      1.        There is no real plan for the future. The company is merely reacting to events as

                                they occur. For example, the company depends  entirely on one supplier  for an
                                important component and has not found an alternative supplier in case the first

                                one is closed by a strike or goes bankrupt.

                      2.        There is a chronic shortage of working capital. Payments to suppliers and even
                                payrolls are delayed.

                      3.        Employee’s morale is low, with frequent absenteeism, and high turnover in the

                                work force.
                      4.        Profits are  low or non-existent because sales are weak or costs are higher than

                                expected.
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