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-                                     14 days       5.71


                         The sequence of forecast and assessment of the radiation situation
                         The forecast and assessment of the radiation situation is carried out in the
                  following way:
                         1. Definition  of  the  size  of  zones  of  radioactive  contamination  and  the

                  possibility getting object into an area of contamination.
                  To do this, determine:
                         - categories of stability of the atmosphere (degree of vertical air resistance –
                  DVAR), which determine according to the table 8.2 (if unknown);
                  - average moving speed of the radioactive cloud V       aver.  according to the
                  table 8.4;
                         - the size of the forecasted zones of radioactive contamination according to
                  the table 8.5 depending on clouds speed and categories of atmospheric stability,
                  percentage of thrown radioactive substances, type of reactor;
                         - will the object be in the contamination zone, in what zone and location in
                  the zone, based on the distance of the object to the NPP, the zones size and the
                  direction of the wind – will be at the conditions of R <L; β  = β -180°.
                                                                             0
                                                                                         v
                                                                                    0

                         Table  8.4  –  The  average  velocity  of  moving  the  radiation  cloud  V        aver.
                  depending on the surface wind (at a height of 10 m), m/sec.
                    State of                       Wind speed at a height of 10 m (V )
                                                                                            10
                  atmosphere
                                      <2            2             3            4            5            >5


                  Convection           2            2             5            -            -             -

                    Isotherm           -            -             5            5            5            10

                   Inversion           -            5            10           10            -             -



                         Table 8.5 – The size of the forecasted zones of radioactive contamination
                  on the cloud trace during an accident at the NPP
                     Percentage of         Index of zone                     Type of reactor
                       discarded
                      radioactive                                 RBMK-1000                  VVER-1000
                    substances, %                             Length L,  Width b,  Length              Width
                                                                  km           km          L, km       b, km


                                             Isotherm, velocity of cloud 5 m/sec.

                                                 M                145          8.42         74.5        3.70
                            3
                                                  A              34.1          1.74         9.9         0.29



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