Page 92 - 6685
P. 92

n
                       nk i  i
                  k     i 1  n  ,                                                            (5.1)
                            n i
                              i 1
          where k i, n i taken from permeability distribution polygon;
               - variance (mean-square deviation) defines the fluctuations
          of the actual value of the parameter near the mean in absolute units
                          n
                                   2
                             kk i   n i
                         i 1  n   ,                                                  (5.2)
                               n i
                               i 1
               -  coefficient  of  variation,  which  is  ratio  of  dispersion  to
          mathematical expectation

                        ,                                                                    (5.3)
                          k
          shows fluctuations of the parameter in decimal quantity from the
          average.
                 Considering  the  fact  that  not  all  of  the  possible  research
          activities could be done the average values of parameters could be
          estimated with errors (non-sampling errors). Non-sampling errors
          could be estimated as:
                          t 
                          ,                                                                   (5.4)
                          N
          where    -  limiting  sampling  error;    -  variance;  N  -  number  of
          samples;  t  -  coefficient  with  value  depended  from  given
          probability (t=1 when probability 0.68; t=2 when probability  0.85;
          t=3 when probability reaches 0.97);
                  In case when the error value is set by the regulation ( it
          should  not  exceed  the  pre-set  value),  in  order  to  prevent  error
          value  overrunning  the  established  limits  at  a  predetermined
          probability,  by  using  equation  (5.4),  determine  the  number  of
          models that need to be analyzed:







                                         92
   87   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97