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P. 68

Random vectors


               Establish the correlation matrix for W, X, Y, Z.                                               ,

               Solution. The means of the variables are given by

                                                  1    1             3         2     16
                                       µ W = 2 ×    = , µ X = 4 ×       + 2 ×     =    ,
                                                  4    2             13        13    13
                                                         1             6     3
                                               µ Y = 1 × , µ Z = 2 ×      =    .
                                                         2             52    13
                                                  2
                                                                      2
                                                                                  2
               The variances, computed from σ = Var(U) = E(U ) − (E(U)) , where U = W, X, Y or Z,
                                                 U
               are
                                            ( )  2                                 (    ) 2
                                       1      1      3               3        2      16       472
                                                          2
                             σ 2  = 4 ×  −         = ; σ = 16 ×        + 4 ×     −         =      ,
                              W
                                       4      2      4    X         13        13     13       169
                                                 ( )  2                       (   ) 2
                                             1     1       1             6      3        69
                                    2                          2
                                   σ = 1 ×     −        = , σ = 4 ×        −         =      .
                                                               Z
                                    Y
                                             2     2       4            52      13      169
               The covariances are found by first calculating E(WX) etc. and then forming E(WX)−µ W µ X
               etc.
                                              2           2     8                 8     1 16
                             E[WX] = 2 · 4 ·     + 2 · 2 ·  =     , Cov[W, X] =      −   ·    = 0,
                                              52         52    13                 13    2 13
                                                      1   1                 1   1 1     1
                                     E[WY ] = 2 · 1 ·   = , Cov[W, Y ] =     −    ·   = ,
                                                      4   2                 2   2 2     4
                                                                        1   3       3
                                         E[WZ] = 0, Cov[W, Z] = 0 −       ·    = −    ,
                                                                        2 13       26
                                              6           4     8                 8     6   1
                             E[XY ] = 4 · 1 ·    + 2 · 1 ·  =     , Cov[X, Y ] =    −     ·   = 0,
                                              52         52    13                13    13 2
                                                  6    12                12    16   3     108
                                 E[XZ] = 4 · 2 ·     =    , Cov[X, Z] =      −    ·    =     ,
                                                 52    13                13    13 13      169
                                                                       1   3       3
                                          E[Y Z] = 0, Cov[Y Z] = 0 −     ·    = −    .
                                                                       2 13       26
               The correlations Corr[W, X] and Corr[X, Y ] are clearly zero; the remainder are given by
                                                             (      ) −1/2
                                                           1   3 1
                                            Corr[W, Y ] =        ·        = 0.577;
                                                           4   4 4
                                                             (        ) −1/2
                                                          3    3  69
                                         Corr[W, Z] = −         ·           = −0.209;
                                                          26   4 169
                                                            (          ) −1/2
                                                        108   472   69
                                         Corr[X, Z] =             ·           = 0.598;
                                                        169   169 169
                                                            (        ) −1/2
                                                          3   1   69
                                         Corr[Y, Z] = −         ·           = −0.361.
                                                         26   4 169
               Finally, then, we can write down the correlation matrix:
                                                                              
                                                      1      0    0.58   −0.21
                                                     0      1     0      0.6  
                                             ρ =                                .
                                                    0.58    0     1     −0.36 
                                                    −0.21 0.6 −0.36        1

               As would be expected, X is uncorrelated with either W or Y, colour and face-value being two
               independent characteristics. Positive correlations are to be expected between W and Y and
               between X and Z; both correlations are fairly strong. Moderate anticorrelations exist between
               Z and both W and Y, reflecting the fact that it is impossible for W and Y to be positive if Z is
               positive.


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